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Winnicott Research Unit, School of Psychology, University of Reading, Reading, UK
Correspondence: Professor Peter J. Cooper, Winnicott Research Unit, School of Psychology, University of Reading, 3 Earley Gate,Whiteknights, Reading RG6 6AL, UK. E-mail p.j.cooper{at}rdg.ac.uk
Declaration of interest None. Funding detailed in Acknowledgements.
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View this table: [in a new window] | Table 1 Accuracy of probands predictions of anxiety disorder and mood disorder/alcohol (MD/AD) dependence according to probands own psychiatric history |
The 115 relatives were the mothers of the probands in all but 8% of cases (father in 1%, brother in 1% and sister in 6%). The mean age of the relatives was 56.8 years (s.d.=8.56).
Relatives were also interviewed using the SCID1, with interviewers masked to the probands psychiatric status. Lifetime diagnoses of anxiety disorders, depressive disorders and alcohol dependence were made in consensus meetings between the SCID interviewer and one of the authors (P.J.C.).
Probands were interviewed about the psychiatric histories of their relatives. For MD and generalised anxiety disorder, established criteria were used (Endicott et al, 1975; Kendler et al, 1997). For the other disorders detailed research criteria were specified. Lifetime diagnoses were again made in independent consensus meetings (with P.J.C.), and these were compared with the gold-standard diagnosis that was obtained from the direct interview.
The sensitivity and specificity of probands accounts of their relatives lifetime history of any DSMIV anxiety disorder (a composite category because of the low numbers involved) and MD/AD were calculated, and binary logistic regression models were fitted to assess whether the accuracy of the probands information on relatives diagnoses was predicted by their own psychiatric histories of these disorders (taking into account the age difference between the proband and the other informant).
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Table 1 also shows the sensitivity and specificity of the probands accounts of lifetime MD/AD in their relatives, according to whether the probands themselves had a lifetime diagnosis of MD/AD, anxiety disorder without MD/AD, or no disorder. Probands who had never met the criteria for any DSMIV Axis I disorder were more likely to make a false-negative prediction of MD/AD in their relatives than either probands who themselves had a lifetime diagnosis of MD/AD (Fishers exact test: P=0.002) or probands who had a lifetime diagnosis of any anxiety disorder without MD/AD (Fishers exact test: P=0.07). The proportion of false-negative predictions of MD/AD in their relatives made by the probands in the two psychopathology groups did not differ significantly. Similarly, the proportion of false-positive predictions of MD/AD in the relatives did not differ significantly between the three proband groups. A binary logistic regression model indicated that, compared with probands who had no lifetime DSMIV Axis I disorder, the probands with a history of MD/AD were more than four times as likely to correctly predict a history of MD/AD in their relatives (odds ratio 4.03, 95% CI 0.9517.14; P=0.06). Although not statistically significant, probands with a lifetime diagnosis of any anxiety disorder without MD/AD were approximately two and a half times more likely to correctly predict a history of MD/AD in their relatives (odds ratio 2.56, 95% CI 0.748.92; P=0.14).
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With regard to MD/AD, as has been reported previously (Chapman et al, 1994; Roy et al, 1994; Heun et al, 1997), we found that probands with a history of such disorders showed higher sensitivity in their predictions of MD/AD in their relatives than probands with no history of a DSMIV Axis I disorder. Furthermore, again as reported previously (Chapman et al, 1994; Roy et al, 1994), our data suggest that this increased sensitivity was not specific to MD/AD in the probands. Probands with a history of an anxiety disorder without MD/AD were also more sensitive in their predictions of MD/AD in relatives than probands with no history of disorder. We found no evidence that the probands in the psychopathology groups were less specific in their predictions of MD/AD in their relatives than probands with no history of disorder. It could be argued that the use of the composite category of MD/AD for these analyses might have obscured diagnostically specific links. However, although we could not perform separate analyses for prediction of alcoholism in relatives (because of their low rate of this disorder), when only mood disorder diagnoses for relatives were selected, the pattern of results did not change.
It is also possible that our findings were influenced by specific aspects of the sample that was studied. The present study principally concerned mothers and daughters and it is possible that the findings may not generalise to other family relationships. Women may be more aware than men of psychiatric disorder in their relatives, although there is no evidence that psychiatric disturbance would have a different impact on the sensitivity and specificity of mens predictions compared with those of women.
Finally, given that (to our knowledge) this is the first UK study to investigate whether probands predictions of anxiety disorder and MD/AD in relatives are influenced by the probands own psychiatric history, it is important to consider that differences between our findings and those of previous studies may be due to cultural factors in the UK. These might include taboos about mental illness, societal understanding of mental illness, and the way in which UK families communicate in particular, the way in which they discuss mental health issues.
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This research was funded by the Medical Research Council and the Health Foundation.
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