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REVIEW ARTICLES |
Imperial College London
Central and North West London Mental Health NHS Trust
Imperial College London, London, UK
Correspondence: Dr M. J. Crawford, Department of Psychological Medicine, Claybrook Centre, 37 Claybrook Road, London W6 8LN, UK. Tel: +44 (0)207 386 1233; fax: +44 (0)207 386 1216; e-mail: m.crawford{at}imperial.ac.uk
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ABSTRACT |
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Aims To examine whether additional psychosocial interventions following an episode of self-harm reduce the likelihood of subsequent suicide.
Method We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of data from randomised controlled trials of interventions for people following self-harm. Likelihood of suicide was compared by calculating the pooled root difference in suicide rate with 95% confidence intervals.
Results We obtained suicide data from 18 studies with a total population of 3918. Eighteen suicides occurred among people offered active treatment and 19 among those offered standard care (pooled root difference in suicide rate 0.0,95% CI 0.03 to 0.03). The overall rate of suicide among people participating in trials was similar to that reported in observational studies of people who self-harm.
Conclusions Results of this meta-analysis do not provide evidence that additional psychosocial interventions following self-harm have a marked effect on the likelihood of subsequent suicide.
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INTRODUCTION |
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One of the most important high-risk groups consists of people who present to services following an episode of non-fatal self-harm. As many as 1.8% of people who harm themselves die by suicide in the year following the incident (Owens et al, 2002) and as many as 8.5% die by suicide over a 22-year period (Jenkins et al, 2002). It has been argued that enhanced treatment of those who self-harm could help reduce the overall rate of suicide (Gunnell & Frankel, 1994; Mann et al, 2005). In a review paper examining the impact of different strategies aimed at preventing suicide, Lewis and colleagues estimated that additional interventions following self-harm might reduce the rate of subsequent suicide by 25% (Lewis et al, 1997).
The view that psychosocial treatment following self-harm could affect the subsequent rate of suicide was supported by findings from a randomised trial of manual-assisted cognitive therapy for people who self-harm. In the year following randomisation, 5 (2.5%) of 203 patients assigned to standard care and 1 (0.5%) of 199 patients assigned to cognitivebehavioural therapy had died by suicide (Tyrer et al, 2003). This difference did not reach statistical significance; indeed, the relative rarity of suicide following self-harm means that even large trials of people who self-harm lack sufficient power to explore effects on suicide (Gunnell & Frankel, 1994).
Although the impact of interventions on the rate of repetition of self-harm has been explored (Van der Sande et al, 1997a; Hawton et al, 2000), the effect of such interventions on the likelihood of subsequent suicide has not been examined. We therefore conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of randomised controlled trials of psychosocial interventions following self-harm, to estimate their impact on the rate of subsequent suicide.
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METHOD |
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Inclusion criteria
Studies were eligible for inclusion in the review if they were randomised
controlled trials; involved patients who had harmed themselves in the period
prior to entry into the trial; and compared additional or enhanced
intervention with a form of control or standard care. Where papers met these
criteria but did not provide mortality data, we attempted to obtain these data
from the authors.
Selection of studies and data extraction
Two raters independently assessed all papers for possible inclusion in the
review. If there was disagreement about whether a study should be included
this was discussed in detail with a third reviewer and a decision made on
whether or not to include it. Information on the study population and
interventions were recorded, and data on study size, follow-up rate and
numbers of suicides and other deaths in each arm of the trial were extracted
by two raters and double-entered onto a database.
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=µ11/2µ21/2.
Its estimate from a study with a follow-up time t is
.
The standard deviation of this estimate is s=21
[(m+n)/mnt]1/2.
The values of
for each study were entered into RevMan 4.2.7 for
Windows (Cochrane Collaboration, Oxford, UK; see
http://www.cc-ims.net/RevMan)
as generic inverse variance data and can be routinely analysed.
A fixed-effects model was used. Heterogeneity between studies was examined
using the
2 test. We then repeated the analysis using death
from any cause as the outcome. Finally, funnel plot asymmetry was examined in
order to assess the possibility of publication bias
(Egger et al,
1997).
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RESULTS |
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Types of interventions
Most of the interventions involved a limited number (between 2 and 50) of
sessions of individual psychotherapy such as cognitivebehavioural
therapy, interpersonal psychotherapy and dialectical behaviour therapy. In
other studies changes were made to the organisation of services to enhance
uptake of psychosocial treatment or facilitate contact with services at times
of crisis.
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There were 37 suicides among the 3918 participants in the trials of psychosocial interventions, 18 per 2165 person-years among those who received enhanced treatment and 19 per 2237.5 person-years among those who received control treatment. Randomised trials of manual-assisted cognitive therapy (Tyrer et al, 2003), out-patient cognitivebehavioural therapy (Brown et al, 2005), and intensive out-patient care (Van der Sande et al, 1997b) showed a trend towards lower levels of suicide. The remaining studies all showed no difference, or slightly higher levels among those in the active arm of the trial. Funnel plots of effect size estimates against inverse standard error (an indication of study size) were symmetrical, suggesting that publication bias was unlikely to have affected study findings (Fig. 3).
Impact on mortality
Complete mortality data were available in only 12 studies. Difference in
root rates for suicide in the 18 trials of psychosocial intervention are
presented in Fig. 4. There was
a total of 29 deaths among people in these trials: 18 per 1422 person-years
among those receiving control treatment and 11 per 1527.5 person-years among
those receiving additional psychosocial interventions.
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DISCUSSION |
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Level of suicide
Few papers provided information about how suicide deaths were ascertained.
Given that a proportion of participants in each study were lost to follow-up
it is possible that some suicide deaths were not recorded.
It has been suggested that participation in a trial might of itself affect patient outcomes (Rothwell, 2005). Participants in these studies all received a higher level of assessment as a result of participation in a trial, and most trials excluded people who were judged to be at high risk of subsequent suicide. Five trials we included followed participants for less than a year, but among those that followed people for 12 months the overall rate of suicide during this period was 0.016. This is similar to the rate of 0.018 reported in cohorts of people followed up after an episode of self-harm (Owens et al, 2002).
Interpretation of results
The relative lack of statistical power in this meta-analysis means that
caution needs to be used when interpreting the study findings. Many of the
trials of psychosocial interventions we examined were too small to detect
differences in the level of repetition of self-harm, and suicides occurred in
only 11 of the 18 studies included in the review. During the course of this
review we identified three trials of pharmacological interventions
(Hirsch et al, 1982;
Montgomery et al,
1983; Verkes et al,
1998). With a combined study population of 243 and one suicide by
a member of the control group in the trial by Verkes and colleagues, a
meta-analysis was not appropriate for these interventions.
A total of 4004 person-years (2002 in each arm) was sufficient to achieve power of 80% to detect a difference between a rate of suicide of 1.8% in the year following an episode of self-harm, and 50% reduction in the level of suicide among those receiving additional psychosocial interventions. Had trials demonstrated reductions in levels of suicide of the magnitude reported by Tyrer et al (2003) we would have had ample power to detect statistically significant differences in our primary outcome, with 4397.5 person-years in this meta-analysis. However, we had insufficient power to detect smaller but still clinically significant reductions in the level of suicide. Study power would have been increased had we been able to obtain suicide data from the nine remaining randomised trials that met our inclusion criteria. These nine trials included a combined population of 2914 participants.
None of the studies we identified set out to examine whether intervention would lead to a reduction in the rate of suicide, and the relatively low rate of suicide among people in the period following self-harm would make this an odd choice of outcome in a single trial. However, it has been argued that interventions to reduce repetition of suicidal behaviour following self-harm could have an impact on suicide rates (Gunnell & Frankel, 1994; Mann et al, 2005), and publication of detailed information on suicides and other deaths occurring among participants in future trials of interventions for people who self-harm would enable a more precise estimate to be made of the impact of these interventions on suicide.
Because we were interested in exploring whether enhanced psychosocial treatment following self-harm affects the likelihood of subsequent suicide, we combined data on a variety of different types of psychosocial intervention. In doing so it is possible that the impacts of specific forms of intervention have been minimised. Differences in the rate of suicide in the trial of manual-assisted cognitivebehavioural therapy by Tyrer et al (2003) are of particular note. The single death (in the control arm) of the more recent trial of cognitivebehavioural therapy by Brown et al (2005) adds little to the statistical power required to examine whether this therapy reduces the subsequent rate of suicide. However, the relatively modest reduction in repetition of self-harm in such trials cautions against the view that this therapy is likely to be associated with marked reductions in levels of subsequent suicide.
Although we found no difference in rate of suicide among those randomised to standard and enhanced treatment, a trend towards a reduction in the overall rate of mortality was observed. This could be a chance finding, but it could reflect a real difference in mortality between those offered standard care and those offered additional psychosocial interventions. It is known that some suicide deaths are sometimes misclassified as due to other causes (Phillips & Ruth, 1993; Neeleman et al, 1997). This finding emphasises the need to interpret the absence of difference in rate of suicide in studies with caution.
Implications for suicide prevention
This study did not examine the impact of standard care on levels of suicide
following self-harm and it is possible that interventions currently provided
by mental health services do much to limit the likelihood of suicide
(US Department of Health and Human
Services, 2001). However, we found little evidence to support the
view that additional psychosocial treatment for people who self-harm leads to
reductions in levels of suicide.
Individual randomised trials of psychosocial treatments have demonstrated statistically significant reductions in the likelihood of repetition of non-fatal self-harm, but such findings do not necessarily mean that these treatments would reduce the likelihood of subsequent suicide. We believe that these data support the view that a range of public health measures for preventing suicide should be pursued, including population-based strategies such as restricting access to means of suicide and encouraging responsible discussion of suicide in the media.
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ACKNOWLEDGMENTS |
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Received for publication April 20, 2006. Revision received April 20, 2006. Accepted for publication June 2, 2006.
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