Systematic search for predictive validity studies of commonly used structured violence risk assessment instruments.
Actuarial risk assessment instruments: annualised rates of violence in high-risk groups.
Structured professional judgement risk assessment instruments: annualised rates of violence in high-risk groups.
Annualised rate of violence in individuals classified as high risk by eight widely used structured risk assessment instruments
HCR-20, Historical, Clinical, Risk Management-20; Max., maximum; Min., minimum; PCL-R, Psychopathy Checklist - Revised; SARA, Spousal Assault Risk Assessment; SAVRY, Structured Assessment of Violence Risk in Youth; SORAG, Sex Offender Risk Appraisal Guide; SPJ, structured professional judgement; SVR-20, Sexual Violence Risk-20; VRAG, Violence Risk Appraisal Guide.
↵a. Number of samples.
↵b. Instrument not originally developed for the purpose of forensic risk assessment.
Predictors of rates of violence in individuals classified as high risk: binomial logistic regression
NA, not applicable; NS, not significant and dropped from model; OR, odds ratio; SPJ, structured professional judgement.
↵a. All analyses adjusted for sample size, time at risk and study design (prospective v. non-prospective); k = number of samples.
↵b. Variable dropped second from backward stepwise model.
↵c. Variable dropped third from backward stepwise model.
↵d. Variable dropped first from backward stepwise model.
Vol 204 Issue 3
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